Virtus Francavilla vs Turris: prediction and stats
Coppa Italia Serie DRound of 16Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, Francavilla Fontana
The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Francavilla the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Turris. The most likely score is 1-1. If Virtus Francavilla wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Francavilla vs Turris?
Virtus Francavilla starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,815 vs 1,678).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Virtus Francavilla vs Turris
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Virtus Francavilla
Not enough data to predict the Virtus Francavilla lineup.
Turris
Not enough data to predict the Turris lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Francavilla have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Turris have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Francavilla(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Turris(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Manfredonia(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Nardò(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Certosa V. Campagnano(home) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Normanna(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Virtus Francavilla wins, 2 draws, 1 Turris win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Turris 1-2 Virtus Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Virtus Francavilla 0-0 Turris | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Turris 1-3 Virtus Francavilla | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Virtus Francavilla 3-1 Turris | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Turris 2-2 Virtus Francavilla | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 13, 2022 | Turris 1-0 Virtus Francavilla | Serie C - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Turris vs Virtus Francavilla on Nov 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Francavilla score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Turris score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Francavilla | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Turris | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Virtus Francavilla vs Turris?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Francavilla vs Turris?
- The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Francavilla the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Turris.
- Where and when is Virtus Francavilla vs Turris played?
- Virtus Francavilla vs Turris is played on November 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, in the Coppa Italia Serie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.