Vitoria Setubal vs Alcochetense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 9Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Bonfim, Setúbal
The Footlab AI model makes Alcochetense the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Vitoria Setubal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcochetense wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,576 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitoria Setubal vs Alcochetense?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Vitoria Setubal (1,922) and Alcochetense (1,887).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vitoria Setubal vs Alcochetense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vitoria Setubal
4-3-3- HHeliardo
- TTuga
- JJoca Monteiro
- RR. Omrani
- FFrancisco Ascenso
- DDiogo Fernandes Martins
- LLourenço Henriques
- SSamir Banjai
- JJoão Marouca
- DDiogo Sequeira
- TTiago Neto
Alcochetense
Not enough data to predict the Alcochetense lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitoria Setubal have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Alcochetense have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcains(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Juventude Évora(home) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lajense(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Amora(home) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santa Clara B(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Aljustrelense(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CF Benfica(home) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fayal(home) | 8-0 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitoria Setubal score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Alcochetense score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria Setubal | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Alcochetense | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Setubal | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 53 |
A question about Vitoria Setubal vs Alcochetense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitoria Setubal vs Alcochetense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcochetense the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Vitoria Setubal.
- Where and when is Vitoria Setubal vs Alcochetense played?
- Vitoria Setubal vs Alcochetense is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Bonfim, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.