Vitoria vs Fluminense: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 26, 2024 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Vitoria vs Fluminense?
Vitoria won 2-1 on October 26, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 45′NerisVitoria
- 61′Lucas ArcanjoFluminense (o.g.)
- 90′AlerrandroVitoria (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitoria have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Fluminense have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Atletico-MG(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Internacional(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Juventude(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2024 | Flamengo(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Cruzeiro(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Vitoria win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2024 | Fluminense 0-1 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2018 | Fluminense 0-0 Vitoria | Serie A |
| May 6, 2018 | Vitoria 1-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2017 | Vitoria 2-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Jun 3, 2017 | Fluminense 2-1 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Oct 28, 2016 | Fluminense 2-2 Vitoria | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Fluminense vs Vitoria on Jun 27, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Vitoria score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.0 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitoria sit 12th in Serie A (29 points from 23 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 33 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy