Vitoria vs Gremio: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 5, 2016 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Vitoria vs Gremio?
Gremio won 0-1 on October 5, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 53′JaílsonGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitoria have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Gremio have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2016 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Botafogo(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2016 | Internacional(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Flamengo(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2016 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2016 | Palmeiras(home) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Fluminense(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vitoria win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2016 | Gremio 1-2 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Gremio 1-0 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Aug 3, 2014 | Vitoria 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2013 | Vitoria 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 6, 2013 | Gremio 1-0 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2010 | Vitoria 0-3 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitoria score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 0.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Gremio | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitoria sit 12th in Serie A (29 points from 23 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Vitoria | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 33 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy