VJS vs TPV: prediction and stats
YkkönenGroup StageKick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Myyrmäen jalkapallostadion, Vantaa
The Footlab AI model makes VJS the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for TPV. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VJS vs TPV?
VJS starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,603 vs 1,445).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for VJS vs TPV
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
VJS
4-3-3- 99J. Holopainen
- 29K. Koivunen
- 11J. Rahja
- 22Oskari Blommendahl
- 14Edim Uzun
- 15D. Hvidberg
- 4M. Marin
- 24U. Kumpulainen
- 25A. Ahla
- 6J. Mabinda
- 23J. Tynkkynen
TPV
4-3-3- 11R. Kostiainen
- 27T. Toijala
- 15E. Bullock
- 8B. Özcelik
- 18E. Riikonen
- 29K. Manninen
- 26S. Pitkakoski
- 33K. Kylen
- 16V. Anttila
- 2A. Rantanen
- 12N. Pienmunne
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 02:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VJS have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; TPV have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | KuPS Akatemia(away) | 2-1 | Ykkönen |
| Sep 26, 2026 | KPV-j(home) | 2-0 | Ykkönen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC jazz(away) | 2-0 | Ykkönen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inter Turku II(home) | 2-1 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Rops(away) | 0-2 | Ykkönen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | KPV-j(home) | 4-0 | Ykkönen |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC jazz(home) | 1-3 | Ykkönen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Inter Turku II(away) | 0-3 | Ykkönen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | KuPS Akatemia(home) | 4-2 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 29, 2026 | PKKU(home) | 0-2 | Ykkönen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 VJS wins, 2 draws, 1 TPV win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2026 | VJS 2-1 TPV | Ykkönen |
| Apr 4, 2026 | TPV 3-1 VJS | Ykkönen |
| Sep 22, 2024 | VJS 1-1 TPV | Kakkonen - Play-offs |
| Jul 8, 2024 | VJS 6-2 TPV | Kakkonen - Lohko B |
| May 5, 2024 | TPV 2-2 VJS | Kakkonen - Lohko B |
| Oct 24, 2021 | TPV 0-3 VJS | Kakkonen - Lohko B |
How many goals should we expect?
VJS score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; TPV score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VJS | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| TPV | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VJS sit 4th in Ykkönen (43 points from 26 matches) and TPV sit 9th (30 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | VJS | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 46 | 33 | 43 |
| 9 | TPV | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 48 | 30 |
A question about VJS vs TPV?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VJS vs TPV?
- The Footlab AI model makes VJS the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for TPV.
- Where and when is VJS vs TPV played?
- VJS vs TPV is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Myyrmäen jalkapallostadion, in the Ykkönen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.