Volga Ulyanovsk vs FC Sochi: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Trud, Ulyanovsk
The Footlab model makes Volga Ulyanovsk the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for FC Sochi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs FC Sochi?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Volga Ulyanovsk (1,749) and FC Sochi (1,820).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Volga Ulyanovsk have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; FC Sochi have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Sochi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 5-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Volga Ulyanovsk win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 FC Sochi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Sochi 1-0 Volga Ulyanovsk | First League |
| Oct 16, 2024 | FC Sochi 2-0 Volga Ulyanovsk | Cup |
Last archived meeting: FC Sochi vs Volga Ulyanovsk on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Volga Ulyanovsk score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; FC Sochi score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volga Ulyanovsk | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Sochi | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Volga Ulyanovsk sit 13th in First League (6 points from 7 matches) and FC Sochi sit 5th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Sochi | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
| 13 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Volga Ulyanovsk vs FC Sochi?
- The Footlab model makes Volga Ulyanovsk the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for FC Sochi.
- Where and when is Volga Ulyanovsk vs FC Sochi played?
- Volga Ulyanovsk vs FC Sochi is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Trud, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.