Rotor Volgograd vs Torpedo Moskva: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Volgograd Arena, Volgograd
The Footlab model makes Rotor Volgograd the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Torpedo Moskva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rotor Volgograd vs Torpedo Moskva?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Rotor Volgograd (1,841) and Torpedo Moskva (1,889).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rotor Volgograd have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Torpedo Moskva have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ural(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Veles(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(away) | 4-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Sochi(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rotor Volgograd win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Torpedo Moskva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Torpedo Moskva 2-0 Rotor Volgograd | First League |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Rotor Volgograd 3-0 Torpedo Moskva | First League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Torpedo Moskva 0-1 Rotor Volgograd | First League |
| Jul 22, 2024 | Rotor Volgograd 1-1 Torpedo Moskva | First League |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Torpedo Moskva 1-0 Rotor Volgograd | First League |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Rotor Volgograd 1-1 Torpedo Moskva | First League |
Last archived meeting: Torpedo Moskva vs Rotor Volgograd on Nov 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Rotor Volgograd score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Torpedo Moskva score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotor Volgograd | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Torpedo Moskva | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rotor Volgograd sit 10th in First League (10 points from 8 matches) and Torpedo Moskva sit 5th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Torpedo Moskva | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rotor Volgograd vs Torpedo Moskva?
- The Footlab model makes Rotor Volgograd the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Torpedo Moskva.
- Where and when is Rotor Volgograd vs Torpedo Moskva played?
- Rotor Volgograd vs Torpedo Moskva is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Volgograd Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.