Volgar Astrakhan vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A GoldFall Season Gold - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Central'nyj Stadion Astrakhan'gazprom, Astrakhan'
The Footlab model makes Volgar Astrakhan the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Alaniya Vladikavkaz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Volgar Astrakhan vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Volgar Astrakhan (1,795) and Alaniya Vladikavkaz (1,740).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Volgar Astrakhan have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Alaniya Vladikavkaz have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rodina Moskva II(home) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Novosibirsk(away) | 2-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Pobeda(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(home) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz(away) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV(away) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Kirov(home) | 2-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(away) | 3-3 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Sokol Saratov(away) | 1-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan(home) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Volgar Astrakhan win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-1 Volgar Astrakhan | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Volgar Astrakhan 1-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-0 Volgar Astrakhan | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-2 Volgar Astrakhan | First League |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Volgar Astrakhan 1-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz | First League |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-2 Volgar Astrakhan | First League |
Last archived meeting: Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Volgar Astrakhan on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Volgar Astrakhan score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Alaniya Vladikavkaz score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volgar Astrakhan | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Volgar Astrakhan sit 7th in Second League A - Division A Gold (6 points from 5 matches) and Alaniya Vladikavkaz sit 4th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Volgar Astrakhan | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Volgar Astrakhan vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?
- The Footlab model makes Volgar Astrakhan the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Alaniya Vladikavkaz.
- Where and when is Volgar Astrakhan vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz played?
- Volgar Astrakhan vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Central'nyj Stadion Astrakhan'gazprom, in the Second League A - Division A Gold.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.