Vora vs Tirana: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Vora, Vora
The Footlab model makes Vora the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Tirana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vora vs Tirana?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Vora (1,747) and Tirana (1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vora have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Tirana have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(away) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Partizani(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Bylis(home) | 5-2 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(away) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 0-3 | Superliga |
| May 10, 2026 | AF Elbasani(away) | 3-1 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(away) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Partizani(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Vora win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tirana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Tirana 3-0 Vora | Superliga |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Vora 1-1 Tirana | Superliga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Tirana 0-2 Vora | Superliga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Vora 3-1 Tirana | Superliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Vora score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tirana score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vora | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Tirana | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vora sit 2nd in Superliga (3 points from 1 matches) and Tirana sit 10th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Vora | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Tirana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vora vs Tirana?
- The Footlab model makes Vora the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Tirana.
- Where and when is Vora vs Tirana played?
- Vora vs Tirana is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Vora, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.