VPS vs HJK Helsinki: prediction and stats
VeikkausliigaChampionship Group - 31Kick-off on November 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
The Footlab AI model makes HJK Helsinki the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for VPS. The most likely score is 1-1. If HJK Helsinki wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,802 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VPS vs HJK Helsinki?
HJK Helsinki starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,669).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for VPS vs HJK Helsinki
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
VPS
3-4-1-2- 29W. Samaké
- 9C. Holmelund
- 2L. Mane
- 34A. Räisänen
- 7J. Turfkruier
- 27K. Kouassivi-Benissan
- 8Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima
- 23M. Niemi
- 6E. Okereke
- 3Razak Simpson
- 41M. Jalloh
HJK Helsinki
4-2-3-1- 9M. Borchers
- 7Alfie Cicale
- 4A. Ring
- 29S. Haarala
- 8P. Mentu
- 22L. Möller
- 14L. Montano
- 6V. Tikkanen
- 31M. Bogićević
- 17N. Alho
- 1J. Öst
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 03:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VPS have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; HJK Helsinki have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | KuPS(away) | 0-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Gnistan(home) | 1-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 8, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 0-6 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 0-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 2-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gnistan(home) | 4-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 12, 2026 | AC Oulu(away) | 4-3 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 8, 2026 | VPS(home) | 6-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Gnistan(away) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 VPS win, 1 draw, 4 HJK Helsinki wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | HJK Helsinki 6-0 VPS | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | HJK Helsinki 2-1 VPS | Veikkausliiga |
| May 22, 2026 | VPS 2-1 HJK Helsinki | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 5, 2025 | VPS 0-2 HJK Helsinki | Veikkausliiga |
| Apr 26, 2025 | HJK Helsinki 3-1 VPS | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 20, 2024 | VPS 1-1 HJK Helsinki | Veikkausliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
VPS score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; HJK Helsinki score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VPS | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| HJK Helsinki | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VPS sit 6th in Veikkausliiga (39 points from 29 matches) and HJK Helsinki sit 2nd (52 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | VPS | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 39 |
A question about VPS vs HJK Helsinki?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VPS vs HJK Helsinki?
- The Footlab AI model makes HJK Helsinki the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for VPS.
- Where and when is VPS vs HJK Helsinki played?
- VPS vs HJK Helsinki is played on November 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Lemonsoft Stadion, in the Veikkausliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.