Vrchovina vs Hodonín: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 16Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nové Město na Moravě, Nové Město na Moravě
The Footlab model makes Hodonín the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Vrchovina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vrchovina vs Hodonín?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Vrchovina (1,771) and Hodonín (1,825).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vrchovina have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hodonín have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vítkovice(away) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zlín II(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Líšeň II(away) | 0-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Blansko(home) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Brno(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zlín II(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Líšeň II(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bzenec(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blansko(away) | 3-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slovácko II(home) | 1-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Vrchovina win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Hodonín win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Hodonín 0-1 Vrchovina | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Vrchovina 1-5 Hodonín | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Vrchovina 0-2 Hodonín | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Hodonín 2-0 Vrchovina | 3. liga - MSFL |
How many goals should we expect?
Vrchovina score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hodonín score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vrchovina | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Hodonín | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vrchovina sit 9th in 3. liga - MSFL (7 points from 4 matches) and Hodonín sit 13th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Vrchovina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | Hodonín | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vrchovina vs Hodonín?
- The Footlab model makes Hodonín the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Vrchovina.
- Where and when is Vrchovina vs Hodonín played?
- Vrchovina vs Hodonín is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nové Město na Moravě, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.