Vsetín vs Vrchovina: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Tyršova ulice, Vsetín
The Footlab model makes Vrchovina the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Vsetín. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vsetín vs Vrchovina?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Vsetín (1,705) and Vrchovina (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vsetín have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Vrchovina have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Uničov(home) | 1-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Frýdek-Místek(away) | 0-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Chotebor(away) | 6-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Unie Hlubina(home) | 2-4 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc II(home) | 0-5 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vítkovice(away) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zlín II(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Líšeň II(away) | 0-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Blansko(home) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Brno(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Vsetín win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Vrchovina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Vrchovina 3-0 Vsetín | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Vsetín 3-0 Vrchovina | 3. liga - MSFL |
How many goals should we expect?
Vsetín score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Vrchovina score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vsetín | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Vrchovina | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vsetín sit 18th in 3. liga - MSFL (0 points from 4 matches) and Vrchovina sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Vrchovina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 18 | Vsetín | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vsetín vs Vrchovina?
- The Footlab model makes Vrchovina the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Vsetín.
- Where and when is Vsetín vs Vrchovina played?
- Vsetín vs Vrchovina is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tyršova ulice, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.