Wals-Grünau vs Ried II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NorthNorth - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Hans-Ludwig-Stadion, Wals
The Footlab model makes Wals-Grünau the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Ried II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wals-Grünau vs Ried II?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Wals-Grünau (1,649) and Ried II (1,556).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wals-Grünau have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ried II have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kuchl(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | LASK Juniors(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Grödig(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SK Vorwarts Steyr(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Leonfelden(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | LASK Juniors(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Grödig(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 11, 2026 | SK Vorwarts Steyr(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Leonfelden(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bad Schallerbach(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Wals-Grünau score 2.0 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ried II score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wals-Grünau | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
| Ried II | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wals-Grünau sit 4th in Regionalliga - North (9 points from 5 matches) and Ried II sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ried II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 4 | Wals-Grünau | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wals-Grünau vs Ried II?
- The Footlab model makes Wals-Grünau the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Ried II.
- Where and when is Wals-Grünau vs Ried II played?
- Wals-Grünau vs Ried II is played on October 3, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Hans-Ludwig-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.