Walter Ferretti vs Real Estelí: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nacional de Fútbol (UNAN), Managua
The Footlab AI model makes Real Estelí the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Walter Ferretti. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Estelí wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,546 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Walter Ferretti vs Real Estelí?
Real Estelí starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,667 vs 1,472).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Walter Ferretti vs Real Estelí
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Walter Ferretti
Not enough data to predict the Walter Ferretti lineup.
Real Estelí
4-1-4-1- 12W. Talavera
- 6A. Colombino
- 28R. Blanco
- 7B. Bonilla
- 11J. Barrera
- 21E. Casado
- 23Ó. Acevedo
- 19E. Martínez
- 27J. Quijano
- 4M. Fletes
- 1J. Faust
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Walter Ferretti have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Real Estelí have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Matagalpa(away) | 5-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Diriangén(away) | 4-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Jalapa(home) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Managua(home) | 2-3 | Primera Division |
| Sep 2, 2026 | H&H Export(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Jalapa(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Matagalpa(away) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 8, 2026 | UNAN Managua(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Managua(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rancho Santana(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Walter Ferretti win, 1 draw, 4 Real Estelí wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Estelí 4-1 Walter Ferretti | Primera Division |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Real Estelí 2-4 Walter Ferretti | Primera Division |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Walter Ferretti 0-4 Real Estelí | Primera Division |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Real Estelí 2-1 Walter Ferretti | Primera Division |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Walter Ferretti 0-1 Real Estelí | Primera Division |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Real Estelí 0-0 Walter Ferretti | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Walter Ferretti score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Estelí score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Ferretti | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Estelí | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Walter Ferretti sit 5th in Primera Division (14 points from 12 matches) and Real Estelí sit 3rd (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Real Estelí | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Walter Ferretti | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 14 |
A question about Walter Ferretti vs Real Estelí?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Walter Ferretti vs Real Estelí?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Estelí the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Walter Ferretti.
- Where and when is Walter Ferretti vs Real Estelí played?
- Walter Ferretti vs Real Estelí is played on October 18, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nacional de Fútbol (UNAN), in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.