Walton Casuals vs Crawley Down Gatwick: result 1-1 and analysis
FA TrophyPreliminary RoundKick-off on October 5, 2013 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Elmbridge Xcel Sports Hub, Walton-on-Thames, Surrey
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What was the result of Walton Casuals vs Crawley Down Gatwick?
Walton Casuals and Crawley Down Gatwick drew 1-1 on October 5, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Walton Casuals have 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Crawley Down Gatwick have 1, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2013 | Shoreham(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home) | 1-5 | FA Trophy |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Thamesmead Town(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 11, 2011 | Faversham Town(away) | 3-5 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Faversham Town(home) | 2-2 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2013 | Guernsey(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Three Bridges(home) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Witham Town(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Tooting & Mitcham United(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 11, 2011 | Worthing(home) | 0-2 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Walton Casuals score 1.4 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 5; Crawley Down Gatwick score 1.1 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walton Casuals | 1.4 | 3.0 | 0 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| Crawley Down Gatwick | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0 | 5/7 | 5/7 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy