Watford vs Birmingham: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 27Kick-off on February 11, 2014 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
Full time
What was the result of Watford vs Birmingham?
Watford won 1-0 on February 11, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 33′T. DeeneyWatford
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Birmingham have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2014 | Leicester(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Feb 2, 2014 | Brighton(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Jan 30, 2014 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 2-4 | Championship |
| Jan 25, 2014 | Manchester City(away) | 2-4 | FA Cup |
| Jan 18, 2014 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2014 | Charlton(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Feb 1, 2014 | Derby(home) | 3-3 | Championship |
| Jan 28, 2014 | Leicester(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Jan 25, 2014 | Swansea(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 18, 2014 | Yeovil Town(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Watford win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Birmingham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2013 | Birmingham 0-1 Watford | Championship |
| Feb 16, 2013 | Birmingham 0-4 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Watford 2-0 Birmingham | Championship |
| Jan 21, 2012 | Birmingham 3-0 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2011 | Watford 2-2 Birmingham | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 7th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and Birmingham sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy