Watford vs Derby: result 1-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 22, 2014 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
Full time
What was the result of Watford vs Derby?
Derby won 1-2 on November 22, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 39′Jordon IbeDerby
- 67′G. MunariWatford
- 81′Craig James BrysonDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Derby have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2014 | Ipswich(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2014 | Birmingham(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Millwall(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2014 | Middlesbrough(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2014 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2014 | Wolves(home) | 5-0 | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2014 | Huddersfield(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Brentford(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 28, 2014 | Fulham(away) | 5-2 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2014 | Wigan(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Watford win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2014 | Derby 4-2 Watford | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Watford 2-3 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 23, 2013 | Watford 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Derby 5-1 Watford | Championship |
| Mar 10, 2012 | Derby 1-2 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Watford 0-1 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 2.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Derby | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 7th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy