Derby vs Watford: result 4-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 45Kick-off on April 26, 2014 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Watford?
Derby won 4-2 on April 26, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 5′T. DeeneyWatford
- 28′J. HendrickDerby
- 60′C. ForsythDerby
- 70′Mathias RanégieWatford
- 81′J. HendrickDerby
- 86′C. MartinDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Watford have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2014 | Barnsley(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Apr 18, 2014 | Doncaster(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Apr 12, 2014 | Huddersfield(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Apr 8, 2014 | Blackpool(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Apr 5, 2014 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2014 | QPR(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Apr 19, 2014 | Ipswich(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Apr 12, 2014 | Millwall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Apr 8, 2014 | Leeds(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Apr 5, 2014 | Burnley(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Derby win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Watford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2013 | Watford 2-3 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 23, 2013 | Watford 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Derby 5-1 Watford | Championship |
| Mar 10, 2012 | Derby 1-2 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Watford 0-1 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Watford | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Watford sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy