Watford vs Millwall: result 3-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 1, 2014 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
Full time
What was the result of Watford vs Millwall?
Watford won 3-1 on November 1, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 12′Martyn WoolfordMillwall
- 36′M. VydraWatford
- 45′Dániel TőzsérWatford
- 64′G. MunariWatford
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Millwall have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2014 | Middlesbrough(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2014 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2014 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Brighton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2014 | Brentford(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2014 | Cardiff(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2014 | Wigan(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2014 | Wolves(home) | 3-3 | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Derby(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2014 | Birmingham(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Watford win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Millwall win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2014 | Millwall 2-2 Watford | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2013 | Watford 4-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Apr 16, 2013 | Millwall 1-0 Watford | Championship |
| Nov 6, 2012 | Watford 0-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2012 | Millwall 0-2 Watford | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2011 | Watford 2-1 Millwall | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 0.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Millwall | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 7th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and Millwall sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy