Watford vs Tottenham: result 0-1 and analysis
FA Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 27, 2012 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Rhydmwyn, Flintshire
Full time
What was the result of Watford vs Tottenham?
Tottenham won 0-1 on January 27, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 42′Rafael van der VaartTottenham
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Tottenham have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2012 | Birmingham(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Jan 14, 2012 | Reading(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Jan 2, 2012 | Portsmouth(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Dec 31, 2011 | Doncaster(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2011 | Cardiff(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2012 | Manchester City(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2012 | Wolves(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 11, 2012 | Everton(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2012 | West Brom(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 31, 2011 | Swansea(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tottenham score 1.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tottenham | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy