Derby vs Stoke City: result 0-2 and analysis
FA Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 28, 2012 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Stoke City?
Stoke City won 0-2 on January 28, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 5′C. JeromeStoke City
- 81′R. HuthStoke City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Stoke City have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2012 | Burnley(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Jan 14, 2012 | Coventry(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jan 2, 2012 | Hull City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Dec 31, 2011 | West Ham(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2011 | Leeds(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2012 | West Brom(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2012 | Liverpool(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 2, 2012 | Blackburn(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 31, 2011 | Wigan(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2011 | Aston Villa(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City score 1.2 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Stoke City | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy