Wealdstone vs Gateshead: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Grosvenor Vale, Ruislip, Middlesex
The Footlab model makes Wealdstone the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Gateshead. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wealdstone vs Gateshead?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Wealdstone (1,744) and Gateshead (1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wealdstone have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Gateshead have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Wolves U21(home) | 1-3 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 0-3 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Woking(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Wealdstone win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Gateshead win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Gateshead 1-0 Wealdstone | National League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Wealdstone 2-2 Gateshead | National League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Wealdstone 0-4 Gateshead | National League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Gateshead 1-0 Wealdstone | National League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Wealdstone 2-4 Gateshead | National League |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Gateshead 2-1 Wealdstone | National League |
Last archived meeting: Gateshead vs Wealdstone on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wealdstone score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gateshead score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wealdstone | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Gateshead | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wealdstone sit 21st in National League (1 points from 3 matches) and Gateshead sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Gateshead | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 21 | Wealdstone | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wealdstone vs Gateshead?
- The Footlab model makes Wealdstone the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Gateshead.
- Where and when is Wealdstone vs Gateshead played?
- Wealdstone vs Gateshead is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Grosvenor Vale, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.