Gateshead vs AFC Hornchurch: prediction and stats
National LeagueMatchday 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead, Tyne and Wear
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Gateshead. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,080 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gateshead vs AFC Hornchurch?
AFC Hornchurch starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,744 vs 1,520).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gateshead vs AFC Hornchurch
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gateshead
4-3-3- 23B. Chadwick
- 7J. Hiwula
- 21M. Spellman
- 20F. John
- 18B. Williams
- 8S. Bowen
- 5A. Lankshear
- 3D. Ferguson
- 2T. Lavery
- 28H. Holgate
- 12P. Jameson
AFC Hornchurch
3-4-3- 10Á. Balanta
- 30R. Loft
- 7J. Walker
- 14Charlie Pegrum
- 8T. Wraight
- 27Alfie Massey
- 18M. Weston
- 2W. Greenidge
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 5J. Baldwin
- 1A. Nasta
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gateshead have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; AFC Hornchurch have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 0-3 | National League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Stoke City U21(home) | 3-1 | National League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Stafford Rangers(away) | 0-5 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 3, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 2-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 1-2 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gateshead score 0.6 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Hornchurch score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gateshead | 0.6 | 2.5 | 1 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| AFC Hornchurch | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gateshead sit 24th in National League (4 points from 15 matches) and AFC Hornchurch sit 15th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | AFC Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 26 | 21 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 34 | 4 |
A question about Gateshead vs AFC Hornchurch?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gateshead vs AFC Hornchurch?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Gateshead.
- Where and when is Gateshead vs AFC Hornchurch played?
- Gateshead vs AFC Hornchurch is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Gateshead International Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.