Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Attis Arena, Scunthorpe
The Footlab model makes Scunthorpe the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Hartlepool. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Scunthorpe (1,855) and Hartlepool (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scunthorpe have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Hartlepool have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 2-3 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Stoke City U21(home) | 4-0 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Southend(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Middlesbrough U21(home) | 0-10 | National League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Scunthorpe win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Hartlepool win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Scunthorpe 0-0 Hartlepool | National League |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Hartlepool 1-2 Scunthorpe | National League |
| Jul 30, 2024 | Hartlepool 2-1 Scunthorpe | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Scunthorpe 1-1 Hartlepool | League Two |
| Dec 11, 2021 | Hartlepool 0-0 Scunthorpe | League Two |
| Feb 1, 2014 | Hartlepool 0-0 Scunthorpe | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Scunthorpe score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hartlepool score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Hartlepool | 1.4 | 2.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Scunthorpe sit 19th in National League (1 points from 3 matches) and Hartlepool sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hartlepool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 19 | Scunthorpe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool?
- The Footlab model makes Scunthorpe the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Hartlepool.
- Where and when is Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool played?
- Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Attis Arena, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.