Weiche Flensburg vs Werder Bremen II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 18Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Manfred-Werner-Stadion, Flensburg
The Footlab model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Werder Bremen II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weiche Flensburg vs Werder Bremen II?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Weiche Flensburg (1,952) and Werder Bremen II (1,862).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weiche Flensburg have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Werder Bremen II have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Weiche Flensburg(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 16, 2026 | St. Pauli II(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Todesfelde(away) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 19, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Weiche Flensburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Werder Bremen II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Werder Bremen II 1-2 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Weiche Flensburg 4-1 Werder Bremen II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Werder Bremen II 1-5 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Weiche Flensburg 3-3 Werder Bremen II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Werder Bremen II 4-1 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Werder Bremen II 0-0 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen II vs Weiche Flensburg on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Weiche Flensburg score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen II score 1.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weiche Flensburg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Werder Bremen II | 1.7 | 2.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weiche Flensburg sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nord (13 points from 5 matches) and Werder Bremen II sit 17th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 13 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weiche Flensburg vs Werder Bremen II?
- The Footlab model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Werder Bremen II.
- Where and when is Weiche Flensburg vs Werder Bremen II played?
- Weiche Flensburg vs Werder Bremen II is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Manfred-Werner-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026SV Drochtersen/AsselvsVfB Oldenburg
- Nov 14, 2026VfB LübeckvsEintracht Norderstedt
- Nov 14, 2026Bremer SVvsEimsbütteler TV
- Nov 14, 2026SSV JeddelohvsPhönix Lübeck
- Nov 14, 2026Hamburger SV IIvsKickers Emden
- Nov 14, 2026St. Pauli IIvsAtlas Delmenhorst
- Nov 14, 2026TodesfeldevsHannover 96 II
- Nov 14, 2026SchöningenvsHSC Hannover