Weiden vs ASV Neumarkt: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 22Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sparda-Bank-Stadion, Weiden/Oberpfalz
The Footlab model makes Weiden the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for ASV Neumarkt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weiden vs ASV Neumarkt?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Weiden (1,748) and ASV Neumarkt (1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weiden have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; ASV Neumarkt have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kornburg(home) | 2-7 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ammerthal(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stadeln(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Weiden(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kornburg(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Weiden win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 ASV Neumarkt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt 3-3 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Apr 21, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt 1-2 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Weiden 4-4 ASV Neumarkt | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ASV Neumarkt 2-1 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Weiden 2-0 ASV Neumarkt | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Mar 25, 2023 | ASV Neumarkt 2-0 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: ASV Neumarkt vs Weiden on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Weiden score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; ASV Neumarkt score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weiden | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| ASV Neumarkt | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weiden sit 6th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (50 points from 32 matches) and ASV Neumarkt sit 3rd (59 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ASV Neumarkt | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 68 | 50 | 59 |
| 6 | Weiden | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weiden vs ASV Neumarkt?
- The Footlab model makes Weiden the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for ASV Neumarkt.
- Where and when is Weiden vs ASV Neumarkt played?
- Weiden vs ASV Neumarkt is played on March 5, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sparda-Bank-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.