Weiden vs Fortuna Regensburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 9Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sparda-Bank-Stadion, Weiden/Oberpfalz
The Footlab model makes Weiden the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Fortuna Regensburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weiden vs Fortuna Regensburg?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Weiden (1,748) and Fortuna Regensburg (1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weiden have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Fortuna Regensburg have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kornburg(home) | 2-7 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ammerthal(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kornburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ammerthal(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Weiden win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Fortuna Regensburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg 4-2 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Weiden 0-0 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Fortuna Regensburg 1-2 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 30, 2024 | Weiden 4-1 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Regensburg vs Weiden on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Weiden score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Regensburg score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weiden | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Fortuna Regensburg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weiden sit 6th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (50 points from 32 matches) and Fortuna Regensburg sit 8th (45 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Weiden | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 50 |
| 8 | Fortuna Regensburg | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 66 | 58 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weiden vs Fortuna Regensburg?
- The Footlab model makes Weiden the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Fortuna Regensburg.
- Where and when is Weiden vs Fortuna Regensburg played?
- Weiden vs Fortuna Regensburg is played on September 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sparda-Bank-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.