Welayta Dicha vs Awassa Kenema: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 13Kick-off on December 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wolaita Soddo Stadium, Wolaita Sodo
The Footlab AI model makes Welayta Dicha the favourite at 48%, against 31% for a draw and 21% for Awassa Kenema. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,292 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Welayta Dicha vs Awassa Kenema?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Welayta Dicha (1,568) and Awassa Kenema (1,528).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Welayta Dicha vs Awassa Kenema
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Welayta Dicha
4-3-3- 10C. Damtew
- 19Y. Darza
- 11A. Aliso
- 8A. Kidane
- 16T. Taffese
- 14M. Nicole
- 44N. Nasaro
- 27Yonatan Elias
- 5K. Kebede
- 26Wubshet Kifle
- 1B. Genetu
Awassa Kenema
4-3-3- 9G. Kebede
- 11T. Hefamo
- 20S. Gacho
- 18S. Bekele
- 8B. Yared
- 18D. Taddese
- 2A. Demissie
- 12B. Tadele
- 6W. Maereg
- 4S. Wodessa
- 22S. Habtamu
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welayta Dicha have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Awassa Kenema have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Halaba Ketema(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Bahardar(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fasil Ketema(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gamo Chencha(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mekelakeya(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Adama Kenema(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Welayta Dicha wins, 2 draws, 4 Awassa Kenema wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Welayta Dicha 1-1 Awassa Kenema | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Awassa Kenema 2-1 Welayta Dicha | Premier League |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Awassa Kenema 1-0 Welayta Dicha | Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Welayta Dicha 1-1 Awassa Kenema | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2024 | Awassa Kenema 2-0 Welayta Dicha | Premier League |
| Jan 16, 2024 | Welayta Dicha 1-2 Awassa Kenema | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Welayta Dicha vs Awassa Kenema on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Welayta Dicha score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Awassa Kenema score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welayta Dicha | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Awassa Kenema | 0.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Welayta Dicha sit 3rd in Premier League (8 points from 5 matches) and Awassa Kenema sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welayta Dicha | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
| 11 | Awassa Kenema | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
A question about Welayta Dicha vs Awassa Kenema?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Welayta Dicha vs Awassa Kenema?
- The Footlab AI model makes Welayta Dicha the favourite at 48%, against 31% for a draw and 21% for Awassa Kenema.
- Where and when is Welayta Dicha vs Awassa Kenema played?
- Welayta Dicha vs Awassa Kenema is played on December 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wolaita Soddo Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 23, 2026BahardarvsEthiopia Bunna
- Dec 23, 2026Fasil KetemavsKedus Giorgis
- Dec 23, 2026MekelakeyavsSheger Ketema
- Dec 23, 2026Welwalo Adigrat UnivsMebrat Hayl
- Dec 23, 2026Ethiopia Nigd BankvsNegelle Arsi
- Dec 23, 2026Hadiya HosaenavsSidama Bunna
- Dec 23, 2026Ethiopian MedhinvsAdama Kenema
- Dec 23, 2026Halaba KetemavsGamo Chencha