Match

Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba

MekelakeyaSheger Ketema

The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 35% for Mekelakeya, 37% for a draw, 28% for Sheger Ketema. The most likely score is 0-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,102 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Mekelakeya (1,574) and Sheger Ketema (1,543).

35%37%28%
Mekelakeya winDrawSheger Ketema win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mekelakeya

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Yigzaw
  2. 14Mohammed Abera
  3. 35C. Kudjoe
  1. 7Bereket Desta Dana
  2. 10Abdulkarim Worku
  3. 19C. Gugsa
  1. 6G. Hagos
  2. 34N. Hailu
  3. 2F. Jemal
  4. 22C. Menberu
  1. 1Nafian Legason Alionzi

Sheger Ketema

Not enough data to predict the Sheger Ketema lineup.

Computed on October 23, 2026 at 10:25 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mekelakeya have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Sheger Ketema have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mekelakeya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 22, 2026Gamo Chencha(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(home)0-0Premier League
Jun 28, 2026Sheger Ketema(away)0-2Premier League
Sheger Ketema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 20, 2026Mebrat Hayl(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Adama Kenema(away)0-0Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Ethiopia Bunna(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Suhul Shire(away)2-0Premier League
Jun 28, 2026Mekelakeya(home)2-0Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Mekelakeya wins, 0 draws, 2 Sheger Ketema wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 28, 2026Sheger Ketema 2-0 MekelakeyaPremier League
Jan 31, 2026Mekelakeya 0-1 Sheger KetemaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Sheger Ketema vs Mekelakeya on Jun 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mekelakeya score 0.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sheger Ketema score 0.8 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 21% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mekelakeya0.70.793/153/15
Sheger Ketema0.80.593/151/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mekelakeya sit 3rd in Premier League (6 points from 3 matches) and Sheger Ketema sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Mekelakeya3201216
9Sheger Ketema3111114

A question about Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema?
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 35% for Mekelakeya, 37% for a draw, 28% for Sheger Ketema.
Where and when is Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema played?
Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema is played on December 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Addis Ababa Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 21% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mekelakeya and Sheger Ketema

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