Welling United vs Grimsby: result 1-2 and analysis
FA Trophy3rd RoundKick-off on January 12, 2013 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, Welling, Kent
Full time
What was the result of Welling United vs Grimsby?
Grimsby won 1-2 on January 12, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 26′Joe HealyWelling United (pen.)
- 31′J. DevittGrimsby (pen.)
- 52′Marcus MarshallGrimsby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Welling United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Grimsby have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2012 | Woking(away) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Newport County(home) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 11, 2012 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 9, 2012 | Thurrock(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2013 | Hereford United(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Jan 1, 2013 | Lincoln(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Dec 26, 2012 | Lincoln(away) | 4-1 | National League |
| Dec 21, 2012 | Wrexham(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Dec 15, 2012 | Havant & Wville(home) | 4-0 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Welling United score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 12; Grimsby score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welling United | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/12 | 7/12 |
| Grimsby | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy