Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Al Hilal Port Sudan: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Adigrat Stadium, Adigrat
The Footlab model makes Welwalo Adigrat Uni the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Al Hilal Port Sudan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Al Hilal Port Sudan?
Al Hilal Port Sudan starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,595 vs 1,485).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welwalo Adigrat Uni have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Al Hilal Port Sudan have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Arba Minch Kenema(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Sheger Ketema(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 30, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Al Ahli Wad Medani(home) | 2-2 | Sudani Premier League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Al-Merreikh II(home) | 0-1 | Sudani Premier League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Umm Mughad(home) | 2-0 | Sudani Premier League |
| May 28, 2026 | Al-Hilal Omdurman II(away) | 1-3 | Sudani Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Hay Al Wadi(away) | 2-0 | Sudani Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Hilal Port Sudan score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Al Hilal Port Sudan | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Al Hilal Port Sudan?
- The Footlab model makes Welwalo Adigrat Uni the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Al Hilal Port Sudan.
- Where and when is Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Al Hilal Port Sudan played?
- Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Al Hilal Port Sudan is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Adigrat Stadium, in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.