Westchester SC vs Spokane Velocity: prediction and stats
USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)The Stadium at Memorial Field, Mount Vernon, New York
The Footlab model makes Westchester SC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Spokane Velocity. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Westchester SC vs Spokane Velocity?
Spokane Velocity starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,752 vs 1,619).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Westchester SC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Spokane Velocity have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Corpus Christi(away) | 2-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naples(home) | 3-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Forward Madison(away) | 0-2 | USL League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Alta(away) | 0-0 | USL League One |
| Jul 22, 2026 | NY Cosmos(home) | 3-0 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Greenville Triumph(home) | 2-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Corpus Christi(home) | 2-3 | USL League One |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Colorado Springs(home) | 1-1 | USL League One Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fort Wayne(home) | 3-1 | USL League One |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Charlotte Independence(home) | 3-0 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Westchester SC win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Spokane Velocity win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | Spokane Velocity 2-1 Westchester SC | USL League One |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Spokane Velocity 2-1 Westchester SC | USL League One |
| May 4, 2025 | Spokane Velocity 3-1 Westchester SC | USL League One |
Last archived meeting: Spokane Velocity vs Westchester SC on Jun 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Westchester SC score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Spokane Velocity score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westchester SC | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Spokane Velocity | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Westchester SC sit 12th in USL League One (23 points from 21 matches) and Spokane Velocity sit 5th (35 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spokane Velocity | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 35 |
| 12 | Westchester SC | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Westchester SC vs Spokane Velocity?
- The Footlab model makes Westchester SC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Spokane Velocity.
- Where and when is Westchester SC vs Spokane Velocity played?
- Westchester SC vs Spokane Velocity is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at The Stadium at Memorial Field, in the USL League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 8, 2026Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville
- Mar 8, 2026Naples2-0Fort Wayne
- Mar 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise0-1Boise
- Mar 8, 2026Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Mar 8, 2026TormentavsSpokane Velocity
- Mar 14, 2026NY Cosmos1-3Portland Hearts of Pine
- Mar 14, 2026TormentavsAlta
- Mar 14, 2026Greenville Triumph1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves