Wigan vs Reading: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)DW Stadium, Wigan
The Footlab AI model makes Reading the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Wigan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Reading wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wigan vs Reading?
Reading starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,969 vs 1,845).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wigan vs Reading
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wigan
4-2-3-1- 9S. Perkins
- 8M. Power
- 6J. Weir
- 10R. Walsh
- 18Charlie Gray
- 7F. Murray
- 5F. Burns
- 23J. Carragher
- 3M. Fox
- 22J. Mellish
- 41J. Whitworth
Reading
4-2-3-1- 7J. Marriott
- 10L. Wing
- 32P. Lane
- 19Kyreece Lisbie
- 4A. Rinomhota
- 28J. Stokes
- 15P. O'Connor
- 5H. Roberts
- 16Benn David Ward
- 2U. Godwin-Malife
- 1Joel Pereira
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigan have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Reading have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 0-4 | League One |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 3-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wigan win, 0 draws, 5 Reading wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Reading 3-0 Wigan | League One |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Wigan 1-2 Reading | League One |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Wigan 1-2 Reading | League One |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Reading 2-0 Wigan | League One |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Wigan 1-0 Reading | League One |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Reading 2-0 Wigan | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Wigan score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Reading score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Reading | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wigan sit 24th in League One (4 points from 7 matches) and Reading sit 7th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 12 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
A question about Wigan vs Reading?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wigan vs Reading?
- The Footlab AI model makes Reading the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Wigan.
- Where and when is Wigan vs Reading played?
- Wigan vs Reading is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at DW Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.