Wiltz vs Résidence Walferdange: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade am Petz, Weidingen
The Footlab model makes Wiltz the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Résidence Walferdange. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wiltz vs Résidence Walferdange?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Wiltz (1,434) and Résidence Walferdange (1,353).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiltz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Résidence Walferdange have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 0-4 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 7-2 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atert Bissen(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Hostert(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Jeunesse Canach(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Wiltz score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Résidence Walferdange score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiltz | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Résidence Walferdange | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wiltz sit 9th in National Division (4 points from 3 matches) and Résidence Walferdange sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Résidence Walferdange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Résidence Walferdange | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Wiltz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Wiltz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wiltz vs Résidence Walferdange?
- The Footlab model makes Wiltz the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Résidence Walferdange.
- Where and when is Wiltz vs Résidence Walferdange played?
- Wiltz vs Résidence Walferdange is played on April 25, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade am Petz, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027FC Differdange 03vsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Apr 25, 2027Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsUS Rumelange
- Apr 25, 2027UN Kaerjeng 97vsUNA Strassen
- Apr 25, 2027Victoria RosportvsF91 Dudelange
- Apr 25, 2027US HostertvsUS Mondorf-les-bains
- Apr 25, 2027Etzella EttelbruckvsAtert Bissen
- Apr 25, 2027Swift HesperangevsProgres Niederkorn