US Hostert vs US Mondorf-les-bains: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Becker, Hostert
The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for US Hostert. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Hostert vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
US Mondorf-les-bains starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,656 vs 1,436).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Hostert have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; US Mondorf-les-bains have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 5-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 2-4 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(away) | 3-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 US Hostert win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 US Mondorf-les-bains win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains 4-0 US Hostert | National Division |
| Nov 2, 2025 | US Hostert 2-1 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Apr 19, 2025 | US Hostert 2-1 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Oct 27, 2024 | US Mondorf-les-bains 3-1 US Hostert | National Division |
| Apr 24, 2024 | US Hostert 1-2 US Mondorf-les-bains | Cup |
| May 21, 2023 | US Hostert 2-5 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
Last archived meeting: US Mondorf-les-bains vs US Hostert on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
US Hostert score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; US Mondorf-les-bains score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Hostert | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Hostert sit 10th in National Division (3 points from 3 matches) and US Mondorf-les-bains sit 4th (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | US Hostert | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 6 |
| 10 | US Hostert | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Hostert vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
- The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for US Hostert.
- Where and when is US Hostert vs US Mondorf-les-bains played?
- US Hostert vs US Mondorf-les-bains is played on April 25, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Becker, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027FC Differdange 03vsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Apr 25, 2027Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsUS Rumelange
- Apr 25, 2027UN Kaerjeng 97vsUNA Strassen
- Apr 25, 2027Victoria RosportvsF91 Dudelange
- Apr 25, 2027Etzella EttelbruckvsAtert Bissen
- Apr 25, 2027WiltzvsRésidence Walferdange
- Apr 25, 2027Swift HesperangevsProgres Niederkorn