Swift Hesperange vs Progres Niederkorn: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Alphonse Theis, Hesperange
The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Swift Hesperange. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swift Hesperange vs Progres Niederkorn?
Progres Niederkorn starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,414).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swift Hesperange have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Progres Niederkorn have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | US Hostert(home) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(away) | 0-5 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wiltz(home) | 2-7 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Rumelange(away) | 0-1 | National Division |
| May 23, 2026 | Union Titus Petange(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atert Bissen(away) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Swift Hesperange win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Progres Niederkorn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn 1-1 Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Swift Hesperange 1-4 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| May 18, 2025 | Swift Hesperange 1-0 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Progres Niederkorn 1-1 Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| May 9, 2024 | Swift Hesperange 1-1 Progres Niederkorn | Cup |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Swift Hesperange 0-0 Progres Niederkorn | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swift Hesperange score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swift Hesperange | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Progres Niederkorn | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swift Hesperange sit 16th in National Division (0 points from 3 matches) and Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Progres Niederkorn | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swift Hesperange vs Progres Niederkorn?
- The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Swift Hesperange.
- Where and when is Swift Hesperange vs Progres Niederkorn played?
- Swift Hesperange vs Progres Niederkorn is played on April 25, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Alphonse Theis, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027FC Differdange 03vsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Apr 25, 2027Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsUS Rumelange
- Apr 25, 2027UN Kaerjeng 97vsUNA Strassen
- Apr 25, 2027Victoria RosportvsF91 Dudelange
- Apr 25, 2027US HostertvsUS Mondorf-les-bains
- Apr 25, 2027Etzella EttelbruckvsAtert Bissen
- Apr 25, 2027WiltzvsRésidence Walferdange