Match

Swift Hesperange vs Progres Niederkorn: prediction and stats

National DivisionRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Alphonse Theis, Hesperange

Swift HesperangeProgres Niederkorn

The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Swift Hesperange. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Swift Hesperange vs Progres Niederkorn?

Progres Niederkorn starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,414).

Swift Hesperange win21 %
Draw25 %
Progres Niederkorn win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swift Hesperange have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Progres Niederkorn have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Swift Hesperange
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026US Hostert(home)0-2National Division
Aug 16, 2026Racing FC Union Luxembourg(away)0-5National Division
Aug 9, 2026Wiltz(home)2-7National Division
Aug 2, 2026US Rumelange(away)0-1National Division
May 23, 2026Union Titus Petange(away)3-2National Division
Progres Niederkorn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026UNA Strassen(home)0-1National Division
Aug 16, 2026Atert Bissen(away)4-0National Division
Aug 9, 2026Résidence Walferdange(away)1-0National Division
Aug 1, 2026AS Jeunesse Esch(home)2-1National Division
Jul 25, 2026Excelsior Virton(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Swift Hesperange win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Progres Niederkorn win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Progres Niederkorn 1-1 Swift HesperangeNational Division
Aug 17, 2025Swift Hesperange 1-4 Progres NiederkornNational Division
May 18, 2025Swift Hesperange 1-0 Progres NiederkornNational Division
Dec 11, 2024Progres Niederkorn 1-1 Swift HesperangeNational Division
May 9, 2024Swift Hesperange 1-1 Progres NiederkornCup
Feb 25, 2024Swift Hesperange 0-0 Progres NiederkornNational Division

Last archived meeting: Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Swift Hesperange score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Progres Niederkorn score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Swift Hesperange0.82.124/156/15
Progres Niederkorn1.51.8310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Swift Hesperange sit 16th in National Division (0 points from 3 matches) and Progres Niederkorn sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Progres Niederkorn4301729
4Progres Niederkorn4301729
16Swift Hesperange30032130
16Swift Hesperange40042150

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Swift Hesperange vs Progres Niederkorn?
The Footlab model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Swift Hesperange.
Where and when is Swift Hesperange vs Progres Niederkorn played?
Swift Hesperange vs Progres Niederkorn is played on April 25, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Alphonse Theis, in the National Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Swift Hesperange and Progres Niederkorn

Ready to know everything about football?