Wingate & Finchley vs Carshalton Athletic: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Maurice Rebak Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Carshalton Athletic the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Wingate & Finchley. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wingate & Finchley vs Carshalton Athletic?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Wingate & Finchley (1,725) and Carshalton Athletic (1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wingate & Finchley have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Carshalton Athletic have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Wingate & Finchley win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Carshalton Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic 2-0 Wingate & Finchley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic 4-1 Wingate & Finchley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Wingate & Finchley 2-2 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Wingate & Finchley 3-2 Carshalton Athletic | FA Cup |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Carshalton Athletic 0-0 Wingate & Finchley | FA Cup |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Wingate & Finchley 2-1 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Carshalton Athletic vs Wingate & Finchley on Aug 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wingate & Finchley score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wingate & Finchley | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Carshalton Athletic | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wingate & Finchley sit 16th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Carshalton Athletic sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Athletic | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
| 16 | Wingate & Finchley | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wingate & Finchley vs Carshalton Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Carshalton Athletic the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Wingate & Finchley.
- Where and when is Wingate & Finchley vs Carshalton Athletic played?
- Wingate & Finchley vs Carshalton Athletic is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Maurice Rebak Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.