Aveley vs Maldon & Tiptree: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Parkside Stadium, Aveley, Essex
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Maldon & Tiptree. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aveley vs Maldon & Tiptree?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Aveley (1,878) and Maldon & Tiptree (1,864).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aveley have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Maldon & Tiptree have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 5-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southend(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-6 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Walthamstow(away) | 2-3 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aveley win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Maldon & Tiptree win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree 1-0 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Maldon & Tiptree 0-0 Aveley | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Oct 22, 2021 | Aveley 5-3 Maldon & Tiptree | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Maldon & Tiptree 0-1 Aveley | FA Cup |
| Jan 4, 2020 | Maldon & Tiptree 3-1 Aveley | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Aveley 0-2 Maldon & Tiptree | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
Last archived meeting: Maldon & Tiptree vs Aveley on Aug 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Maldon & Tiptree score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aveley | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Maldon & Tiptree | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aveley sit 6th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Maldon & Tiptree sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aveley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Maldon & Tiptree | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aveley vs Maldon & Tiptree?
- The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Maldon & Tiptree.
- Where and when is Aveley vs Maldon & Tiptree played?
- Aveley vs Maldon & Tiptree is played on October 19, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Parkside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Oct 20, 2026Three BridgesvsEastbourne Borough
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