Match

Lewes vs Whitehawk: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Dripping Pan, Lewes, East Sussex

LewesWhitehawk

The Footlab model makes Lewes the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Whitehawk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lewes vs Whitehawk?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Lewes (1,686) and Whitehawk (1,657).

Lewes win42 %
Draw25 %
Whitehawk win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lewes have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Whitehawk have 0, 5 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lewes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Whyteleafe(home)3-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026St Albans City(away)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Whitehawk(away)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Enfield Town(home)0-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Chatham Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Whitehawk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chatham Town(home)0-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Aveley(away)2-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Lewes(home)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Welling United(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Potters Bar Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lewes win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Whitehawk win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 11, 2026Whitehawk 0-0 LewesNon League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 6, 2026Lewes 3-0 WhitehawkNon League Premier - Isthmian
Feb 24, 2026Whitehawk 3-1 LewesNon League Premier - Isthmian
Jan 21, 2025Whitehawk 2-1 LewesNon League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 26, 2024Lewes 2-1 WhitehawkNon League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 1, 2024Lewes 1-1 WhitehawkNon League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Whitehawk vs Lewes on Aug 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Whitehawk score 0.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lewes1.11.738/1511/15
Whitehawk0.92.228/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lewes sit 9th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Whitehawk sit 19th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Lewes4211557
19Whitehawk4013281

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lewes vs Whitehawk?
The Footlab model makes Lewes the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Whitehawk.
Where and when is Lewes vs Whitehawk played?
Lewes vs Whitehawk is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Dripping Pan, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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