Winterthur II vs Mendrisio: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 3Group 3 - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Schützenwiese, Winterthur
The Footlab model makes Winterthur II the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Mendrisio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Winterthur II vs Mendrisio?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Winterthur II (1,675) and Mendrisio (1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Winterthur II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Mendrisio have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kosova(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Thalwil(home) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Baden(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| May 30, 2026 | Höngg(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| May 23, 2026 | Widnau(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Collina d'Oro(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Widnau(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kosova(away) | 0-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| May 30, 2026 | Taverne(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| May 23, 2026 | Tuggen(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Winterthur II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Mendrisio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Winterthur II 0-2 Mendrisio | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Mendrisio 4-2 Winterthur II | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| May 24, 2025 | Winterthur II 2-1 Mendrisio | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Mendrisio 3-4 Winterthur II | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Winterthur II 4-0 Mendrisio | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Mendrisio 0-0 Winterthur II | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Winterthur II vs Mendrisio on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Winterthur II score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mendrisio score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winterthur II | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Mendrisio | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Winterthur II sit 8th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 (3 points from 3 matches) and Mendrisio sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Winterthur II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Mendrisio | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Winterthur II vs Mendrisio?
- The Footlab model makes Winterthur II the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Mendrisio.
- Where and when is Winterthur II vs Mendrisio played?
- Winterthur II vs Mendrisio is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Schützenwiese, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.