Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Star Starachowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Milenium, Skawina
The Footlab model makes Wiślanie Jaśkowice the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Star Starachowice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Star Starachowice?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Wiślanie Jaśkowice (1,772) and Star Starachowice (1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiślanie Jaśkowice have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Star Starachowice have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Naprzód(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Wiślanie Jaśkowice win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Star Starachowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Star Starachowice 2-0 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 1-1 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Star Starachowice 1-1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 1-1 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Star Starachowice 3-0 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 1-1 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Star Starachowice vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wiślanie Jaśkowice score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Star Starachowice | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wiślanie Jaśkowice sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 4 (13 points from 5 matches) and Star Starachowice sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Star Starachowice?
- The Footlab model makes Wiślanie Jaśkowice the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Star Starachowice.
- Where and when is Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Star Starachowice played?
- Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Star Starachowice is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Milenium, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Chełmianka ChełmvsKorona Kielce II
- Oct 24, 2026KSZO 1929vsSokół Kolb.
- Oct 24, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsJarosław
- Oct 24, 2026Czarni PołaniecvsBusko-Zdroj
- Oct 24, 2026Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Oct 24, 2026Wisła Kraków IIvsWisłoka Dębica
- Oct 24, 2026NaprzódvsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Oct 24, 2026Moravia MorawicavsSiarka Tarnobrzeg