Where and when is Chełmianka Chełm vs Korona Kielce II played?

Chełmianka Chełm vs Korona Kielce II is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chełmianka Chełm vs Korona Kielce II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Chełm

Chełmianka Chełm

Korona Kielce II

The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Korona Kielce II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chełmianka Chełm vs Korona Kielce II?

Chełmianka Chełm starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,772).

Chełmianka Chełm win66 %

Draw18 %

Korona Kielce II win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chełmianka Chełm have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Korona Kielce II have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chełmianka Chełm
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Naprzód(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Wisłoka Dębica(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Moravia Morawica(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Sokół Kolb.(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 4

Korona Kielce II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	3-4	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026	KSZO 1929(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Naprzód(away)	4-5	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chełmianka Chełm win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Korona Kielce II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Chełmianka Chełm 4-1 Korona Kielce II	III Liga - Group 4
Oct 4, 2025	Korona Kielce II 3-1 Chełmianka Chełm	III Liga - Group 4
May 16, 2025	Chełmianka Chełm 1-2 Korona Kielce II	III Liga - Group 4
Oct 19, 2024	Korona Kielce II 2-4 Chełmianka Chełm	III Liga - Group 4
May 20, 2023	Korona Kielce II 3-3 Chełmianka Chełm	III Liga - Group 4
Oct 15, 2022	Chełmianka Chełm 0-0 Korona Kielce II	III Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Chełmianka Chełm vs Korona Kielce II on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chełmianka Chełm score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Korona Kielce II score 2.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chełmianka Chełm	2.1	0.9	8	7/15	8/15
Korona Kielce II	2.2	2.3	2	13/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st in III Liga - Group 4 (15 points from 5 matches) and Korona Kielce II sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chełmianka Chełm	5	5	0	0	10	1	15
17	Korona Kielce II	5	0	1	4	12	16	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chełmianka Chełm vs Korona Kielce II?: The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Korona Kielce II.
Where and when is Chełmianka Chełm vs Korona Kielce II played?: Chełmianka Chełm vs Korona Kielce II is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.