Wolves vs West Brom: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Wolves the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for West Brom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wolves vs West Brom?
Wolves starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (2,006 vs 1,891).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wolves have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; West Brom have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Preston(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Wolves win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 West Brom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2024 | West Brom 0-2 Wolves | FA Cup |
| May 3, 2021 | West Brom 1-1 Wolves | Premier League |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Wolves 2-3 West Brom | Premier League |
| Feb 12, 2012 | Wolves 1-5 West Brom | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2011 | West Brom 2-0 Wolves | Premier League |
| May 8, 2011 | Wolves 3-1 West Brom | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Wolves score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; West Brom score 2.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| West Brom | 2.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wolves sit 4th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and West Brom sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Wolves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wolves vs West Brom?
- The Footlab model makes Wolves the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for West Brom.
- Where and when is Wolves vs West Brom played?
- Wolves vs West Brom is played on September 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Molineux Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.