Burnley vs Derby: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
Full time
What was the result of Burnley vs Derby?
Burnley and Derby drew 1-1 on September 19, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 34′Z. AmdouniBurnley
- 90′M. FuseiniDerby
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Burnley win at 54%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Burnley vs Derby
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Burnley
4-4-2- 11Z. Amdouni
- 7J. Bruun Larsen
- 5R. Hatate
- 3Max Alleyne
- 29J. Laurent
- 10M. Edwards
- 23Lucas Pires
- 44Igor
- 15A. Ahmedhodžić
- 14C. Roberts
- 37G. Coudert
Derby
4-2-3-1- 9C. Morris
- 8B. Clark
- 11S. Szmodics
- 26R. Hedges
- 4D. Ozoh
- 20A. Mowatt
- 18C. Taylor
- 28D. Sanderson
- 6S. Langås
- 23J. Ward
- 31J. Vickers
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 0 wins, 7 draws and 8 defeats; Derby have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Burnley wins, 3 draws, 0 Derby wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2025 | Burnley 2-1 Derby | League Cup |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Derby 0-0 Burnley | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Burnley 0-0 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 25, 2016 | Burnley 4-1 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2015 | Derby 0-0 Burnley | Championship |
| Mar 1, 2014 | Burnley 2-0 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 9/15 |
| Derby | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burnley sit 21st in Championship (8 points from 10 matches) and Derby sit 23rd (6 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 6 |
A question about Burnley vs Derby?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy