Match

Worcester City vs Alvechurch: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Claines Lane, Worcester, Worcestershire

Worcester CityAlvechurch

The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Alvechurch. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Worcester City vs Alvechurch?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Worcester City (1,834) and Alvechurch (1,805).

Worcester City win42 %
Draw28 %
Alvechurch win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worcester City have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Alvechurch have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Worcester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stamford(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Leighton Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Alvechurch(away)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Stratford Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Merthyr Town(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Alvechurch
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bishop's Stortford(away)3-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Needham Market(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Worcester City(home)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Kettering Town(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 28, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Worcester City win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Alvechurch win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 11, 2026Alvechurch 3-1 Worcester CityNon League Premier - Southern Central
Nov 25, 2025Alvechurch 2-0 Worcester CityNon League Premier - Southern Central
Oct 25, 2025Alvechurch 0-0 Worcester CityFA Trophy
Sep 23, 2025Worcester City 0-0 AlvechurchNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Alvechurch vs Worcester City on Aug 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Worcester City1.31.349/157/15
Alvechurch1.40.949/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Worcester City sit 19th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Alvechurch sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Alvechurch3201526
19Worcester City3012361

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Worcester City vs Alvechurch?
The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Alvechurch.
Where and when is Worcester City vs Alvechurch played?
Worcester City vs Alvechurch is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Claines Lane, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Worcester City and Alvechurch

Ready to know everything about football?