Worcester City vs Peterborough Sports: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Claines Lane, Worcester, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Peterborough Sports. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Worcester City vs Peterborough Sports?
Worcester City starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worcester City have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Peterborough Sports have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stourbridge(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Peterborough Sports score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester City | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Peterborough Sports | 0.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Worcester City sit 19th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Peterborough Sports sit 20th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 20 | Peterborough Sports | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Worcester City vs Peterborough Sports?
- The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Peterborough Sports.
- Where and when is Worcester City vs Peterborough Sports played?
- Worcester City vs Peterborough Sports is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Claines Lane, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027StamfordvsLeiston
- Apr 17, 2027StourbridgevsStratford Town
- Apr 17, 2027Banbury UnitedvsHitchin Town
- Apr 17, 2027Bishop's StortfordvsKettering Town
- Apr 17, 2027Bromsgrove SportingvsHalesowen Town
- Apr 17, 2027Redditch UnitedvsRushall Olympic
- Apr 17, 2027LeamingtonvsLeighton Town
- Apr 17, 2027Anstey NomadsvsBury Town