Match

Worcester City vs Stourbridge: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Claines Lane, Worcester, Worcestershire

Worcester CityStourbridge

The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Worcester City vs Stourbridge?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Worcester City (1,796) and Stourbridge (1,751).

Worcester City win52 %
Draw25 %
Stourbridge win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worcester City have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Stourbridge have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Worcester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stamford(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Leighton Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Alvechurch(away)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Stratford Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Merthyr Town(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Stourbridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leiston(home)2-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Peterborough Sports(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Stamford(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Halesowen Town(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Worcester City win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Stourbridge win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 18, 2025Worcester City 3-2 StourbridgeNon League Premier - Southern Central
Sep 10, 2025Stourbridge 2-2 Worcester CityNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Worcester City vs Stourbridge on Nov 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Worcester City1.31.349/157/15
Stourbridge1.71.648/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Worcester City sit 19th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Stourbridge sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Stourbridge2200416
19Worcester City3012361

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Worcester City vs Stourbridge?
The Footlab model makes Worcester City the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Stourbridge.
Where and when is Worcester City vs Stourbridge played?
Worcester City vs Stourbridge is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Claines Lane, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Worcester City and Stourbridge

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