Where and when is Leiston vs Hitchin Town played?

Leiston vs Hitchin Town is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Leiston vs Hitchin Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk

Leiston

Hitchin Town

The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Hitchin Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leiston vs Hitchin Town?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Leiston (1,786) and Hitchin Town (1,759).

Leiston win43 %

Draw26 %

Hitchin Town win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Hitchin Town have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leiston
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Stourbridge(away)	2-2	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026	Rushall Olympic(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026	Bishop's Stortford(home)	3-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026	Anstey Nomads(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 28, 2026	Gorleston(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

Hitchin Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Racing Club Warwick(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026	Redditch United(home)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026	Needham Market(home)	1-3	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026	Rushall Olympic(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 11, 2026	Luton(home)	0-5	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Leiston win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Hitchin Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2025	Leiston 2-0 Hitchin Town	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Oct 15, 2024	Hitchin Town 1-1 Leiston	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 6, 2024	Leiston 1-0 Hitchin Town	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Dec 11, 2023	Hitchin Town 1-4 Leiston	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Feb 25, 2023	Leiston 0-0 Hitchin Town	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Oct 10, 2022	Hitchin Town 0-3 Leiston	Non League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Hitchin Town on Jan 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hitchin Town score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Leiston	1.4	1.4	3	11/15	8/15
Hitchin Town	1.2	1.3	6	5/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leiston sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Hitchin Town sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Leiston	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
18	Hitchin Town	3	0	1	2	3	6	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Hitchin Town?: The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Hitchin Town.
Where and when is Leiston vs Hitchin Town played?: Leiston vs Hitchin Town is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.