Match

Worthing vs Norwich City U21: prediction and stats

National League CupGroup StageKick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing, West Sussex

WorthingNorwich City U21

The Footlab model makes Worthing the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Norwich City U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Worthing vs Norwich City U21?

Worthing starts as the favourite with a 223-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,724).

Worthing win65 %
Draw18 %
Norwich City U21 win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worthing have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Norwich City U21 have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Worthing
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wealdstone(home)1-0National League
Aug 18, 2026West Ham United U21(home)1-2National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Forest Green(home)1-2National League
Aug 8, 2026Carlisle(away)3-2National League
Aug 1, 2026Horsham(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Norwich City U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Middlesbrough U21(away)1-0Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026AFC Hornchurch(away)2-1National League Cup
Jul 31, 2026Boreham Wood(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026AFC Hornchurch(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 15, 2026Huddersfield Town U21(home)2-4Professional Development League

How many goals should we expect?

Worthing score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Norwich City U21 score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Worthing2.11.1510/1510/15
Norwich City U211.71.7212/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Worthing vs Norwich City U21?
The Footlab model makes Worthing the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Norwich City U21.
Where and when is Worthing vs Norwich City U21 played?
Worthing vs Norwich City U21 is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Sussex Transport Community Stadium, in the National League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Worthing and Norwich City U21

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