Where and when is Worthing vs Barrow played?

Worthing vs Barrow is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Sussex Transport Community Stadium, in the National League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Worthing vs Barrow: prediction and stats

National LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing, West Sussex

Worthing

Barrow

The Footlab model makes Worthing the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Barrow. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Worthing vs Barrow?

Worthing is a heavy favourite: 1,943 Elo points against 1,625 — a 318-point gap.

Worthing win70 %

Draw18 %

Barrow win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worthing have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Barrow have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Worthing
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Wealdstone(home)	1-0	National League
Aug 18, 2026	West Ham United U21(home)	1-2	National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Forest Green(home)	1-2	National League
Aug 8, 2026	Carlisle(away)	3-2	National League
Aug 1, 2026	Horsham(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Barrow
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Harrogate Town(away)	2-2	National League
Aug 15, 2026	AFC Hornchurch(home)	1-2	National League
Aug 8, 2026	Hartlepool(away)	0-2	National League
Aug 1, 2026	Morecambe(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Blackpool(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Worthing score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Barrow score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Worthing	2.1	1.1	5	10/15	10/15
Barrow	1.3	1.5	5	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Worthing sit 9th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Barrow sit 20th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Worthing	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
20	Barrow	3	0	1	2	3	6	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Worthing vs Barrow?: The Footlab model makes Worthing the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Barrow.
Where and when is Worthing vs Barrow played?: Worthing vs Barrow is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Sussex Transport Community Stadium, in the National League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.